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Table 2 Performance of the Model_NoRes_NAT and Model_pCR in the prediction of tumor response to neoadjuvant therapy in LARC patients

From: Multiphase and multiparameter MRI-based radiomics for prediction of tumor response to neoadjuvant therapy in locally advanced rectal cancer

 

AUC (95%)

Sensitivity (95%)

Specificity (95%)

PPV (95%)

NPV (95%)

Accuracy

Model_NoRes_NAT

Training cohort

0.84 [0.79–0.89]

77.9 [66.7–86.2]

78.6 [73.5–82.9]

45.7 [36.9–54.8]

93.9 [90.2–96.3]

0.78

Testing cohort

0.81 [0.70–0.91]

70.6 [46.9–86.7]

79.7 [69.2–87.3]

44.4 [27.6–62.7]

92.2 [83.0–96.6]

0.78

External validation cohort

0.79 [0.67–0.91]

78.3 [58.1–90.3]

71.3 [61.0–79.7]

41.9 [28.4–56.7]

92.5 [83.7–96.8]

0.73

Model_pCR

Training cohort

0.86 [0.81–0.91]

71.2 [60.1–80.4]

85.4 [80.1–89.5]

61.9 [51.2–71.6]

89.9 [85.1–93.3]

0.82

Testing cohort

0.87 [0.76–0.98]

85.0 [64.0–94.8]

83.3 [71.3–91.0]

65.4 [46.2–80.6]

93.8 [83.2–97.9]

0.84

External validation cohort

0.87 [0.78–0.95]

84.0 [65.4–93.6]

81.2 [71.6–88.1]

56.8 [40.9–71.3]

94.5 [86.7–97.9]

0.82

  1. Data in parentheses are 95% CIs. Model_NoRes_NAT is for non-response prediction and Model_pCR is for pathological complete response prediction. AUC, area under the curve; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value